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Programs > Short Term Currency

The SHORT TERM FX (STFX) program is based on a trading programs developed by the principals over many years trading together and is available to investors through the use of managed future accounts. The investment objective of the STFX is to deliver a risk adjusted return of 10% with a volatility target of 8%.The Investment Strategy to be employed falls within what is called 'Managed Futures' in the common classification employed to distinguish between different investment strategies. It currently trades exchange-traded currencies mostly on ICE, but also on the CME. The STFX will typically seek to profit by taking advantage of short term breakout of ranges of major currency pairs and tries to capture medium term trends over several days.

 

 

The Investment Process

The STFX model runs a systematic analysis of the markets it is trading to establish a predicted volatility level for each instrument. This prediction then becomes the basis of Short Term Trend following orders that are placed in the market Once a order is executed a series of stop loss and take profit orders are placed in the market place. These are dynamically and systematically changed as the market moves. The positions are not entirely target driven and trades will continue until conditions for the short term momentum is shown to reverse. The average holding period is four days. Each position has a dynamic stop loss based on its volatility prediction. While initial signals and risk is determine by the model, the leverage is adjusted depending on the performance of the program and the number of open positions the model has on at any one time. The program generally commences a month with a maximum risk exposure of 5% that is divided among different currency blocks. Position sizes (leverage) and stops are adjusted to keep with each block risk limit.

Risk Management

Investments, on both an individual and portfolio basis, will be subject to continuous real-time mark to market as well as an on-going risk management process and portfolio stop-loss procedure. Accounts will be subject to a monthly stop-loss procedure whereby any and all positions will be closed out when accounts have suffered a 5% of Nominal Equity loss from its previous monthly close. It would be expected that investments would already have been cut back before the stop-loss limit is reached.

 

10  currency pairs traded

US Dollar Sector

Euro
Sterling

Yen Sector

US Dollar
Sterling
Euro

Commodity Sector

Canadian Dollar
South African Rand
New Zealand Dollar
Australian Dollar

Euro Sector

Sterling
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